The recent release of UK labour market data came as a positive surprise, with employment growth surpassing expectations and unemployment benefit claims lower than forecasted. Analysts from ING and Capital Economics both agree that this data could influence the Bank of England’s decision on interest rates. Initially, the pound saw a bullish impulse, with GBP/USD
It is observed that the recent USD strength has led to a decline in gold prices. Investors have reduced their expectations of a 50 bps Fed rate cut, which has caused the USD Index to rise. This, in turn, acts as a headwind for gold, as it is a non-yielding asset. The positive tone in
EUR/CHF has been closely linked to the performance of key European benchmark stock indices, particularly the France CAC and Germany DAX. The correlation coefficients between EUR/CHF and these stock indices have remained notably high, indicating a strong positive relationship. This correlation has been evident in recent market movements, especially during periods of risk-off sentiment in
After experiencing heavy losses the previous week, futures tied to Wall Street’s main indexes saw gains on Monday. This positivity was fueled by investor optimism surrounding the soft landing prospects for the U.S. economy. The upcoming crucial inflation report added to the hopeful sentiment in the market. In premarket trading, all megacap stocks showed positive
As the U.S. Federal Reserve prepares for its upcoming meeting, the debate over the size of the rate cut continues to be a hot topic among analysts. Michael Yoshikami, CEO of Destination Wealth Management, has made a compelling argument for a jumbo 50 basis point rate cut. According to Yoshikami, a bigger cut would signal
Recent data from a survey of recruiters in Britain has indicated a noticeable cooling in the labor market. The report highlighted that job placements fell sharply, with permanent placements dropping at the fastest pace in five months. Additionally, pay growth for permanent staff slowed to a five-month low. This suggests a potential slowdown in both
The latest Chinese Consumer Price Index (CPI) data revealed a 0.6% rise in August, slightly below market expectations. This was an increase from the previous month’s growth of 0.5%. On the other hand, Chinese Producer Price Index (PPI) declined by 1.8% year-on-year, falling short of the market forecast. This data can have a significant impact
Upon initial inspection, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFPs) did not appear weak, but the anticipated buying squeeze was disappointingly short-lived due to the fluctuating rate cut odds. Despite Fed official Waller hinting at the possibility of a 50 basis point cut in September, the actual odds remained stagnant at a mere 30%, following Williams’ confirmation of a
Egypt’s inflation has been on a declining trend for the sixth consecutive month in August, primarily due to a favourable base effect. Despite this positive development, analysts argue that there is a likelihood of a month-on-month increase in inflation following a series of price hikes led by the government. The government’s decision to raise the
France is facing a growing financial crisis, with the possibility of its budget deficit increasing unexpectedly if additional savings are not identified. This troubling development has prompted the French Finance Ministry to seek an extension from the European Commission for submitting a plan to reduce the public deficit. The situation has put the French economy,
Recent data from a Reuters poll suggests that economists are predicting a decrease in headline Year-over-Year (YoY) inflation to +2.6%, which is a 0.3 percentage point drop from the previous month’s +2.9% in July. The estimated range falls between +2.6% and +2.4%. Core inflation, which excludes energy and food components, is expected to remain steady
The US Jobs Report for August showed an increase of 142,000 jobs. This data will likely have some impact on the USD/JPY pairing, but it is not the only factor to consider. Consumer Sentiment Index and US Dollar Demand The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, set to be released on September 13, is expected to rise